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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 16th, 2024–Feb 17th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Rockies, Sugarbowl, East Kakwa, Kakwa, McGregor, Pine Pass, Renshaw, Robson, Tumbler.

Use extra caution below ridge crests and rollovers. Wind slabs may not be bonded to the hard crust underneath.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Our North Rockies field team reported a small (size 1) rider triggered wind slab avalanche that likely occurred on Thursday or Friday on a northeast aspect in open, treeline terrain. See photos.

Looking forward to this weekend, it will continue to be possible for humans to trigger avalanches like this one.

If you head into the backcountry, consider posting to the mountain information network.

Snowpack Summary

South through west aspects are stripped down to a thick crust that formed early in February. This crust exists at all elevations. On north through east aspects you will likely find old wind slabs over this crust. Due to recent cold temperatures, weak sugary snow crystals are forming under these wind slabs, which means they may be more likely to slide on the crust.

In treeline terrain that is sheltered from the wind, 5 to 10 cm of settled snow sits above the crust.

Surface hoar is growing on all aspects at all elevations up to 12 mm, even on ridgetops.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Clear. No new snow expected. Light to moderate south or southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level valley bottom, with possible above freezing layer.

Saturday

Sunny. No new snow expected. Light to moderate south or southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 1500 m plus possible above freezing layer.

Sunday

Partly cloudy. No new snow expected. Moderate southwest ridgetop wind, light on the east side of the forecast area. Freezing level valley bottom. Treeline temperature around -5 °C.

Monday

Partly cloudy. No new snow expected. Light to moderate southwest wind, with localised areas of strong wind. Freezing level rising as high as 1500 m on the east side of the forecast area.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.