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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 15th, 2021–Nov 16th, 2021

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

It's hard to resist all of this new snow is falling but be patient and wait for the danger to drop before committing to avalanche terrain. The Icefields Parkway is closed for avalanche control on Tuesday Nov 16th. For highway closures check 511AB.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud.

Alpine temperature: High -12 C.

Ridge wind west: 15-35 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Wednesday: Cloudy with sunny periods.

Alpine temperature: Low -17 C, High -13 C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10 km/h.

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud.

Alpine temperature: Low -14 C, High -11 C.

Ridge wind west: 10 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Around 60cm of new snow at Parker Ridge in the past 72 hours. Moderate to strong SW winds are likely building wind slabs in the alpine and exposed treeline. This new storm snow is sitting on a variable snowpack depending on aspect and elevation with a melt freeze crust up to around 2500m, weak faceted snow near the ground and old melt freeze crusts

Avalanche Summary

There has been no clear alpine or treeline observations due to poor visibility in the last 48hrs. There is a MIN report of a size 2 slab avalanche at Parker Ridge. It is likely that there is a widespread avalanche cycle occurring in the alpine.

Confidence

Due to the quality of field observations

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.