Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Nov 16 – 17, 2021
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Archived · expired 5 years ago

Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

It's hard to resist all of this new snow is falling but be patient and wait for the danger to drop before committing to avalanche terrain. The Icefields Parkway is closed for avalanche control on Tuesday Nov 16th. For highway closures check 511AB.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Ongoing ridge top winds are likely creating wind slabs in the alpine and open tree line

  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Even small avalanches in exposed terrain can have high consequences.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    There are public reports of ski triggered storm slabs down into the trees.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud.

Alpine temperature: High -12 C.

Ridge wind west: 15-35 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Wednesday: Cloudy with sunny periods.

Alpine temperature: Low -17 C, High -13 C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10 km/h.

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud.

Alpine temperature: Low -14 C, High -11 C.

Ridge wind west: 10 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Around 60cm of new snow at Parker Ridge in the past 72 hours. Moderate to strong SW winds are likely building wind slabs in the alpine and exposed treeline. This new storm snow is sitting on a variable snowpack depending on aspect and elevation with a melt freeze crust up to around 2500m, weak faceted snow near the ground and old melt freeze crusts

Avalanche Summary

There has been no clear alpine or treeline observations due to poor visibility in the last 48hrs. There is a MIN report of a size 2 slab avalanche at Parker Ridge. It is likely that there is a widespread avalanche cycle occurring in the alpine.

Confidence

Due to the quality of field observations

Regions covered