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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 8th, 2021–Mar 9th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Caution as the sun comes out on solar aspects.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Alpine temperature: High -7 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 15 km/h gusting to 45 km/h.

Wednesday: Flurries. Accumulation: 11 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -13 °C, High -9 °C. Mostly light ridge wind occasionally gusting to 45 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

Warm temps and high solar input have created crusts and moist snow on solar aspects at TL and below. Continuing SW winds have extensively redistributed the snow pack at TL and ALP. The mid pack is supportive in deep areas, but shallow snowpack areas are weak and failing on buried facet layers in test results.

Avalanche Summary

Field teams down south today noted no new avalanche activity today.

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.