Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Jan 20 – 21, 2020Parks Canada
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Archived · expired 7 years ago

Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Think twice about jumping into complex avalanche terrain as the recent cold snap has weakened the snowpack especially in thinner areas.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5

    New wind slabs forming on easterly aspects at ridgetop along with cornice growth. Old and buried wind slabs on all aspects in the alpine could become more reactive as temperatures warm.

  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Up to 15cm new snow may not be bonding well to previous surface. As temps warm, expect continued dry loose sluffs out of steep terrain.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3

    The recent cold weather has promoted facetting and weakening of the snowpack compromising the bridging strength. Potential for triggering these deeper layers could increase as temperatures warm.

Weather Forecast

Temperatures will continue to warm over the next few days. Winds will become westerly and increase to Strong values by Monday evening.

Monday: Trace amounts of snow High -6 Freezing levels rising to 1500M

Tuesday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries.

For more info: Avalanche Canada Mountain Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

Continued faceting of snowpack. Up to 10cm of settled recent snow may not be bonding well to the upper settled pack. This overlies a weakening mid-pack comprised of varied facet forms. This provides some questionable bridging over the basal facets and DH. HS average at TL: ~135cm.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches at Marmot and Maligne were observed today. Jan 18th Marmot had an explosive result producing a size 3 out of an alpine north facing feature that went to ground. Start zones were crossed loaded features.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday

Regions covered