Avalanche forecast

Little Yoho

Jan 19 – 20, 2022
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Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Avalanche control results in Yoho today showed that conditions are ripe for triggering in steep alpine and treeline wind affected terrain.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1.5–3

    10-25 cms yesterday added to the previous windslabs in alpine and treeline terrain. In some areas, these have been enough to initiate deeper layers in the snowpack once triggered.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3

    This problem represents both the Dec. 2nd crust/ facet layer (treeline and below) and layers of faceted snow that were formed during the late December cold snap (all elevations). If triggered, either layer will result in large avalanches.

Weather Forecast

Wednesday looks to be cold (lows of -20 to -25 at treeline) and clear with moderate NW alpine winds gradually increasing to strong by the evening. On Thursday, a small system is forecast to bring 5-10 cms of snow with strong W alpine winds and freezing levels staying below 1000m. Friday looks to be overcast with moderate NW winds and light snow.

Snowpack Summary

10-15 cms of low density snow with little wind effect sits on top of windslabs in the alpine and in some treeline areas. These overlie facets in many places, producing moderate to hard test results. The Dec. 2 crust/facets are ~130 cm deep in thicker parts, and half that depth in thinner snowpack areas such as Mt. Stephen and Mt. Dennis.

Avalanche Summary

Observations from a flight showed evidence of a small avalanche cycle to size 2 that had occurred overnight. Avalanche control in Yoho today produced slabs with every shot. Most were failing on a windslab or facet layer 40-60cm deep and then entraining facets in the track. One stepped down to the November facets ~ 180 cm deep.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Regions covered