Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Mar 10 – 11, 2026Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 7 months ago

Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Ski quality ranges from fabulous in sheltered locations to heinous in wind impacted spots. Wind and persistent slab problems can be difficult to assess, predict, and manage. Give yourself a wide margin for error and stick with conservative terrain choices.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Recent strong southwest winds have created wind slabs at ridgeline and in lee features.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    A 40-80cm slab sitting atop the Jan 24th weak layer of facets & surface hoar has produced several large avalanches in the region this week. This interface is not bonding well and will take time to settle and stabilize.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are confident that there are persistent slabs in the snowpack, but uncertain about how likely they are to trigger.

Avalanche Summary

Tuesday's Icefield patrol noted a widespread natural cycle 72 hours old, plus some 12-24 hour old size 2.5-3 in the Nigel area. Marmot Basin reported on March 9th explosive triggering size 2 , NE aspect, on a Treeline crossloaded terrain plus a natural size 2.5 in the nearby backcountry. On March 8th, two size 2.5 wind slab avalanches were observed in the Churchill range and one size 2.5 slab avalanche was observed near Pyramid.

Snowpack Summary

Strong to extreme winds out of the S to N have created widespread wind-effect, scoured fetches, and formed wind slabs. A persistent weak layer of surface hoar and facets from January 24th is down 20-80 cm. There have been a number of natural avalanches that have failed on this layer in the past week. Below, the snowpack is generally well consolidated facets to ground. Icefields snow depths range from 130-200 cm and snow depth in the Maligne area ranges from 60-140 cm. 

Weather Summary

Wednesday will bring flurries, 8 cm of snow, -13 °C, and light Southwest gusting 55 km/h winds. 14cm of snow is forecasted for Thursday with light to moderate West winds, and -16 to -10 °C. Friday and Saturday are expected to be cloudy, flurries, -23 to -13 °C, and light winds.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
  • Fresh snow rests on a problematic persistent slab, don't let good riding lure you into complacency.

Regions covered