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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 21st, 2023–Apr 22nd, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Coastal, Nass, Rupert, Shames, Stewart, Ningunsaw.

Forecast snow and extreme southerly wind will form fresh wind slabs on lee aspects at treeline and above.

Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches were reported on Thursday. However, observations in this region are currently very limited.

Two persistent slab avalanches were reported northwest of Terrace last Wednesday (April 12th). A skier triggered size 2 on a north aspect in the alpine and a size 2.5 on an east aspect in the alpine that was triggered by solar radiation. Both failed on a layer of weak facets and/or surface hoar down 40-50 cm.

A fatal avalanche occurred north of Stewart last Tuesday (11th). It was a skier-triggered size 3 persistent slab avalanche that occurred on a northeast aspect in the alpine.

Observations are limited at this time of year, please consider sharing any information or photos you have on the Mountain Information Network to help guide our forecasts.

Snowpack Summary

Forecast snow and extreme southerly wind will form fresh wind slabs on lee aspects at treeline and above. A crust exists up to ridgetop on south-facing slopes and on all aspects up to approximately 1300 m.

The primary concern is two buried weak layers down 40-140 cm deep in most areas. They include facets and surface hoar in shaded areas and a melt-freeze crust elsewhere. Numerous human-triggered persistent slab avalanches have occurred on these layers during the past week.

The mid and lower snowpack is considered generally strong and well-bonded. In the far northern reaches of the region, basal facets may exist which are currently considered inactive. This layer may become active with abrupt changes to the snowpack, such as rapid loading (heavy snowfall or rain) or prolonged warming.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Cloudy with flurries; 3-10 cm / 40 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -3 C / Freezing level 900 m

Saturday

Cloudy with flurries; 3-15 cm / 60 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -2 C / Freezing level 1200 m

Sunday

Cloudy with flurries; 5-10 cm / 30 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -2 C / Freezing level 1200 m

Monday

Cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-5 cm / 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -4 C / Freezing level 1100 m

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.