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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 12th, 2020–Dec 13th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Kananaskis.

The hazard through the region is LOW, but remember it's still early season and the snowpack is shallow. It is still possible to trigger an avalanche, which would not be a fun ride. Lots of rocks, stumps and trees just below the surface that could cut a ski season short.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Temperatures are expected to drop to -18 tonight in the Spray Valley, and even colder down in the Bow Valley. Sunday should be a mainly cloudy day with the occasional snow flake falling, but no accumulations are expected. Daytime highs will be near -11c with light winds.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today.

Snowpack Summary

Surface hoar continues to grow in sheltered areas at lower elevations. Due to the cold temperatures there is also significant surface faceting occurring. There remains very little wind effect on the recent snow, even in the Alpine, however forecasters did note some snow movement at mountain top today. The recent 25 to 30cm of low density surface snow sits over a wide variety of layers, including hard wind slabs, crusts and surface hoar. During the storm, the region experienced a widespread avalanche cycle involving this new snow, but in recent days there has been little to no activity. The November rain crust is faceting out, but the condition of the crust is becoming quite variable. In some areas it remains dense and easily carries the weight of a skier, while in other areas it has broken down significantly.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.