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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 3rd, 2023–Apr 4th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Sporadic flurries are expected through Monday night but the forecasted amounts are uncertain.

Watch for signs of instability throughout the day and pay attention to how the new snow is bonding to crusts on solar aspects.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Saturday through Sunday evening several loose dry avalanches up to size 2.5 were observed in the steep gullied terrain of Mt Macdonald.

Last week glide cracks were on the move, giving isolated large avalanches from steep south facing terrain. There was a size 3 just West of the park on Friday, and a few size 2.5-3.5 from Mt Tupper earlier in the week.

Snowpack Summary

15-20cm of settled snow is covering a solid crust on solar aspects and old powder on polar aspects.

The mid and lower snowpack is generally strong. However, the basal weakness from November can still be found near the ground in many locations. This layer will remain a concern until the end of the season.

Weather Summary

Monday overnight brings another round of flurries into Tuesday with a ridge of high pressure approaching on Wednesday.

Tonight: (trace). Alpine Low -10°C. Light ridge wind East. Freezing level(FZL) valley bottom.

Tues: Flurries (trace). High -7°C. FZL 1500m. Light NW wind.

Wed: No precip. Low -10°C, High -7°C. FZL 1400m.

Thurs: (Trace). Low -9°C, High -3°C. FZL 1800m.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be carefull with sluffing in steep terrain, especially above cliffs and terrain traps.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the crust.

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.