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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 18th, 2015–Feb 19th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

A bit of snow is on the way for later in the week. It will be a welcome addition when it arrives!

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

We have seen a wide spread between overnight lows and daytime highs. We can expect this to continue for the next few days. Tomorrow's alpine high will be -5. The winds will make it feel a bit chillier though. Ridge winds will be 30km/hr and gust to 55km/hr. There will be some flurries giving trace amounts. Freezing level is forecasted to be 1600m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches

Snowpack Summary

No significant change in the last day. The overnight lows have been quite cold. Burstall Pass parking hit -19.7 as the low last night. This has tightened the snowpack considerably at all elevations. The surface crust is thick below treeline, solar aspects. In places today it was 10cm thick and supportive enough to walk on! There was little evidence of wind transport at treeline elevations today. Alpine windslabs are focused on the Eastern (lee) aspects for the most part. Valley bottom depths are about 90cm's and treeline averages 154 cm's.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.