Avalanche forecast

Uintas

Utah Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

  • Alpine
  • Treeline
  • Below treeline
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Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Paddling out in a sea of green avalanche hazard, you'll wanna steer clear of the scattered, apex predator dorsal fins (sharks) that circle the waters at and above treeline, especially in the wind zone, where MODERATE avalanche danger exists. And while you'd really have to go hunting, human triggered wind drifts are still POSSIBLE onsteep, leeward slopes facing the north half of the compass. Although UNLIKELY and becoming more the exception than the rule, once initiated, today's avalanches could fail deeper into old, sugary facets now buried 1'-3’ beneath the snow surface, delivering a body-bruising slide breaking deeper and wider than we might expect.

All other aspects and elevations offer LOW avalanche danger. Riding conditions are fantastic on many aspects in wind sheltered terrain, especially on low angle slopes where you won't feel rock hard wind-board or old, rutted tracks underfoot.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2

    Yesterday, Andy and I stomped around upper elevation terrain in the wind zone and found recent, hard drifts unreactive and stubborn. That said... even though I'm feeling confident, I'm still cautiously dipping a toe in the water of bigger terrain and getting some solid intel, rather than diving in head first. In addition, I'm steering clear of fat looking rounded pillows of snow, especially if they feel hollow or sound like a drum.

    Now here's where the rubber hits the road-

    With proper terrain choices and travel techniques, today's drifts are mostly manageable and straight-forward. Look for clean slopes void of cliffs, rocks, or terrain traps and travel with intent by exposing only one person at a time to the potential hazard. Remember, even a small slide can knock you off your feet and let you know who's the boss in consequential terrain.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    2

    Persistent weak layer (PWL)... it's in the name, the avalanche encyclopedia, and now a very well written and informative BLOG.

    Good news is... the mid December drought layer that is our PWL appears largely dormant. In fact, we haven't seen an avalanche fail to this layer in over two weeks and our stability tests along with pit results are trending nonreactive... in other words, in the right direction. And while that's encouraging, I bet if you're of the hunter-gatherer mindset you could potentially bag a rogue pocket that breaks to older snow in steep, rocky terrain. Now here's the tricky part of the song... the likelihood of triggering has decreased significantly, but the consequences remain severe.

    How do you manage an unruly avalanche dragon? I keep it straight forward and tight. I'm avoiding steep, rocky, mid and upper elevation terrain on the north half of the compass, especially where the pack is slightly thinner. And I remind myself... thin spots are potential trigger points and exist near bushes, rocks, or steep rollovers.

    Weak, sugary, faceted snow... not a good foundation, particularly in terrain where the pack remains shallow. Thanks Kate W for the beautiful photo!

Special Announcement

  • Urgent battery replacement required for anyone who received batteries from one of our participating "Batteries for Beacons" shops. Please review the "Batteries for Beacons" replacement notice on our blog. Batteries distributed through our "Batteries for Beacons" program this year have shown to be inadequate length.
  • Please join the UAC at Deer Valley on January 30th for the 2nd Annual Blizzard Ball Gala. The night will be full of fun including delicious cuisine, live music, an auction, and presentation by Bruce Tremper. More info found here.

Recent Activity

Thanks to Trevor Katz for sharing this image of a small avalanche on a sustained steep slope from his travels in Upper Weber Canyon Monday. TK's observation illustrates the weakening snow surface... not particularly a threat at the moment, rather something to keep an eye on with potential storminess materializing later this week.

Check out more obs and trip reports from across the range and beyond, here!

Snow and Weather

Nowcast- A storm system churns in the four corners, delivering a much needed shot of moisture to the southern half of the state, but closer to home it ain't nuthin' but clear skies and light northeasterly winds blowing in the teens near the high peaks. The mercury starts its final haul through the night shift slightly inverted, meaning temperatures are warmer the higher you go in elevation. Trailheads are just creeping out of the single digits while the ridgetops have been partying in the upper teens all night. And although we haven't received any new snow since the weekend, riding and turning conditions remain quite good, especially on wind sheltered mid and upper elevation, shady slopes.

Forecast- Yet another beautiful day is on tap with sunny skies, northeasterly winds blowing in the mid to upper 20's, and temperatures rising into the mid 30's. Overnight lows dip into the upper teens.

Futurecast- Rinse and repeat weather for the next few days, though there's a hint of change as we wrap up the workweek. And while there's still much uncertainty, it looks like a warm, moist pattern rolling into the weekend. Stay tuned... we'll update you with the deets throughout the week.

There's still a little quite a bit of spread with this weekends storm cycle... we hope to paint a more accurate picture before going on air and broadcasting our forecast.

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General Announcements

The Uinta weather station network was upgraded this summer and all that real-time info is found here. Simply click on the "Western Uinta" tab and then the "Weather Stations" tab to find all your weather needs.

We are always looking for snow and avalanche observations or just general riding conditions. So... if you see something, say something. You can reach our team directly by contacting: Craig at [email protected], 801-231-2170, or Andrew at [email protected], or 860-460-8142.

General Information

This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This forecast was issued on Wednesday, January 29th at 03:30AM and expires 24 hours after it was issued. We will update the forecast by 0700 AM tomorrow. But, in the meantime reach out to us with questions, or if you see anything in your travels.

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