Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 8th, 2014–Jan 9th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Saturday

Weather Forecast

Tonight and Thursday: Precipitation intensity should pick up tonight, slow down during the day tomorrow and pick up again Thursday night with the arrival of another system . Around 15-20 mm. in water equivalent is forecasted for that period. Strong winds from the SW are forecasted for the Western part of the region and  light to moderate for the rest of the region. Freezing levels should remain at the surface.Friday: Light precipitation, most of it should fall late Friday night. Moderate W winds for the day. Freezing levels are forecasted to rise close to 1000 m during the day.Saturday: More of the same due to the zonal flow directing multiple systems inside the province. However this system looks stronger and could leave bigger amounts of precipitation than the previous systems. Temperature are expected to be warmer at first and winds to be strong.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported yesterday.

Snowpack Summary

The light to moderate amounts of snow forecasted before the weekend and moderate winds from the W-SW will most likely create new windslabs below ridgetop in the alpine and cover older windslabs from previous wind event. Sluffing will also be possible in steep terrain where this new snow will be sitting on a surface hoar layer in sheltered areas below treeline. Note that this new surface hoar layer is sitting on a suncrust on S facing aspects in some areas. The persistent weak layers (PWL) are definitely a concern to avalanche professionals since they keep giving sudden planar results and show good propagation potential when tested. The end of November facet/crust or surface hoar layer down 80 cm (or 40 cm where snowpack is very thin) and the depth hoar or basal facetting are the most worrisome layers. Presently, they do not seem reactive to skier triggering but this situation could change with additional loading from the forecasted snow and wind. 

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.