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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 3rd, 2019–Apr 4th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead.

Minimize exposure to steep slopes as temperatures warm through the day, especially in areas with fresh snow.

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace to 10 cm accumulation / southwest wind, 35-45 km/h / alpine low temperature -1 C / freezing level 1500 m THURSDAY - Cloudy with sunny periods / southwest wind, 30-45 km/h / alpine high temperature 0 C / freezing level 1900 m FRIDAY - Wet flurries, up to 10 cm accumulation / southwest wind, 20 gusting to 50 km/h / alpine high temperature +2 C / freezing level 2100 mSATURDAY - Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace to 5 cm accumulation / southwest wind, 35 gusting to 65 km/h / alpine high temperature -1 C /  freezing level 1800 m

Avalanche Summary

There have been no recent avalanche observations in the forecast region.If the sun comes out for prolonged periods of time, the chances of loose avalanches will increase, especially in areas with fresh snow.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack on sun exposed slopes in the alpine and all aspects at treeline and is moist or wet during the heat of the day, especially under direct sun. With spring conditions, the avalanche hazard will fluctuate greatly depending on the strength of the overnight freeze and how quickly the snowpack is warmed up each day.Steep, north facing alpine terrain, still holds a cold, dry snowpack where well settled slab sits over weak facets (sugary snow). Human triggering of persistent slabs on this layer may still be possible, especially in rocky alpine terrain with a shallow or highly variable depth snowpack.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.