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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 8th, 2016–Jan 9th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos.

LOW avalanche danger does not mean NO avalanche danger. Watch for pockets of wind slab at higher elevations.

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Modified arctic air has drifted down from the north, pushed by light northerly winds and a noticeable absence of a jet stream. Valleys may continue to have low level clouds for the duration of the forecast period. Some thin high cloud may block the sun at times in the alpine, but generally the region should have broken skies for the next few days. There may be some very light precipitation in the form of flurries over the next few days, however at this time the region looks pretty dry until at least Wednesday. Alpine temperatures should be around -15 on Saturday, and closer to -10 on Sunday and Monday. Surface winds should be light southerly on Saturday and then start to build on Sunday as they become more westerly.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported. Minimal sluffing in steep terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Near surface facetting continues, and has resulted in loose dry snow mixed with new snow that is available for transport into wind slabs. These thin windslabs have developed over a mix of old surfaces left behind after the recent inversion and clear alpine skies. These old surfaces include surface hoar, near surface facets, and possible sun crusts on steep southerly aspects. Some areas of the western Cariboos around Wells Grey are reporting variable snow depths with treeline height of snow around 150 cm. Shallow snowpack areas may have weak facetted crystals near the ground.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.