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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 11th, 2016–Jan 12th, 2016
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Watch for fresh wind slabs forming at upper elevations through the day.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

A storm is forecast to hit the north coast Monday night although not much precipitation will spill over into inland regions.  Light precipitation is expected through continue Tuesday with total accumulations of up 6cm by Wednesday morning.  Thursday is forecast to be mainly dry.  Freezing levels should remain at, or close to valley bottom through the forecast period.  Strong southwesterly winds are forecast for Tuesday, becoming light westerlies on Wednesday and variable on Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported for several days; however, observations are very limited.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 5cm new snow now covers a fairly widespread surface hoar layer. Below this 5-15 cm of dry faceted snow sits on a variety of old surfaces including a melt-freeze crust on solar aspects in the alpine, and surface hoar in sheltered areas at treeline and lower elevations. Overall, the snowpack is still quite shallow and weak throughout the region.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Fresh wind slabs may be sensitive to rider triggering in steep and unsupported lee and cross-loaded terrain.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3