Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 26th, 2014–Mar 27th, 2014

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Cold temperatures may be preserving the buried persistent weak layers. Watch for warming from solar exposure that may increase sensitivity to triggering.

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Thursday: Overcast and cool with freezing levels dropping close to valley bottoms. Strong Easterly outflow winds. Chance of flurries or light precipitation.Friday: Overcast with Easterly outflow winds. Freezing level rising briefly up to about 700 metres.Saturday: Overcast with a slight warming trend from a weak Southwest flow. Freezing level rising to 800-1000 metres with a chance of some sunny periods.

Avalanche Summary

No new reports of avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

The recent storm snow (40-50 cm) has been transported into pockets of wind slab by moderate Southwest winds in the South of the region and by Easterly winds in the North of the region. The storm slab is sitting on the March persistent weak layer of crusts/facets/surface hoar that is widespread across the region. A late January/early February crust/facet/surface hoar combo is still showing up in snowpack tests with moderate to hard shear test results. This layer is expected to be with us for a long time, and a slide triggered on this layer could be very large and destructive.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Easterly winds have developed wind slabs on lee aspects. Some areas in the South of the region may have had periods of Southwest winds.

Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Persistent Slabs

The recent storm snow may not be well bonded to the buried weak layer of crusts/facets/surface hoar that developed during early March. Forecast cool temperatures may help to preserve this weak layer.

Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.>Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried weak layers>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Deep Persistent Slabs

The deeply buried persistent weak layer from early February continues to be a concern. Heavy loads like cornice falls or storm slab avalanches in motion may trigger this weak layer resulting in very large and destructive avalanches.

Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.>Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 4 - 7