Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 26th, 2020 4:35PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Tim Haggarty,

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While more settled weather is on the way, recent winds and snowfall have left a complex snowpack that features a  great deal of variability and multiple weak layers.

There is a Special Avalanche Warning in effect. Click Here to access.

Happy Holidays!

Summary

Weather Forecast

After continued light snowfall overnight Saturday, expect some short-lived clearing on Sunday as a ridge develops. Weak disturbances may bring cloud and trace amounts of snow Monday. Alpine winds will remain light out of the west and temperatures near -10C.

Snowpack Summary

Small amounts of new snow now bury wind slabs created by recent 25-45km/hr SW-W winds redistributing the 30-60cm of snow from the past week. The Dec 13 and Dec 7 sun crust/surface hoar/facet layers are down ~ 50cm and ~80 cm respectively. The decomposing Nov crust/facets sits at the bottom of the snowpack. Height of snow at tree line is 120-170cm.

Avalanche Summary

Four days of avalanche control earlier this week produced mixed results, from no result to size 3.0. Most were storm slabs, sometimes stepping down to persistent layers. Control on Mt Dennis Thursday produced slabs in the alpine that entrained significant snow in gully features to reach the road. Poor visibility Sat. - no new avalanche reports.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs were formed by strong SW-W winds Wednesday through Friday. While these are becoming buried with new snow, expect to find small, spotty slabs as you enter open areas at Tree Line and to encounter more developed slabs and in the Alpine.

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Watch for shooting cracks or stiffer feeling snow. Avoid areas that appear wind loaded.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

There are a variety of weaker layers down ~50-80cm. These are the Dec 7 and 13th layers of facets, suncrust, and isolated surface hoar. These layers deserve constant suspicion: they can change quickly from one aspect or elevation to another.

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Dec 27th, 2020 4:00PM