Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 28th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada rgoddard, Avalanche Canada

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A storm arriving today will bring snow and wind.

Watch out for reactive storm slabs and use caution as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Triggering a deep persistent slab remains possible, especially in areas with a thin snowpack.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Today's storm is expected to increase avalanche activity.

On Thursday a size 3 deep persistent slab avalanche occurred naturally near Kispiox. It was on a steep, alpine feature, failing near rocks at ridgecrest. On Wednesday at Hudson Bay Mountain, a size 2.5 deep persistent slab avalanche was triggered by a cornice fall. Several size 2-3 explosive-controlled deep persistent slab avalanches also occurred near Ningunsaw.

If you go into the backcountry this weekend, please consider submitting a MIN report.

Snowpack Summary

New snow today will be sitting on a variety of surfaces, primarily wind slabs. In sheltered areas, today's storm snow will be covering snow that fell this past weekend and that snow may be sitting on small facets found 40 to 50 cm down.

Several crusts, layers of facets, or surface hoar can be found in the top 150 cm of the snowpack. This mid-pack is generally showing good strength.

Throughout the region, much of the base of the snowpack consists of weak facets but is slowly gaining strength

The total height of snow at treeline is between 160 to 280 cm.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Increasing cloud, trace accumulation, winds west 30 km/h, treeline temperatures -12 ºC.

Wednesday

Cloudy, 15 to 25 cm accumulation starting in the early morning hours, winds southwest 35 km/h gusting to 70, treeline temperatures hovering around -12 ºC.

Thursday

Cloudy with possible late day sunny breaks, 10 to 15 cm accumulation arriving mostly by morning, winds 25 km/h gusting to 70, treeline temperatures -10 to -5 ºC.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud, 2 cm accumulation, winds southwest 30 km/h, treeline temperatures -10 ºC.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.
  • Avoid areas with a thin or variable snowpack.
  • If triggered, loose dry avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Much of our region will receive significant snow and wind throughout the day today. Watch for the building storm slabs and be mindful of wind-loaded pockets in exposed terrain.

Where the new snow is not wind-affected, make sure to watch out for dry loose avalanches in extreme terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

We continue to receive reports of large deep persistent slab avalanches, failing on facets (weak sugary crystals) near the base of the snowpack. Although triggering an avalanche on these deeply buried layers is unlikely, the result would be a large destructive avalanche.

Avoid shallow areas, and steep, rocky start zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Mar 1st, 2023 4:00PM

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