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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 6th, 2019–Jan 7th, 2019
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

The storm snow is settling out nicely below treeline, but there's been a ton of wind over the last 72 hours and we have limited alpine observations. Factor the potential for large human triggered avalanches at above treeline into your travel plans.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Someone or something is playing with the storm switch, flipping it back and forth. Storm on, storm off, storm on. We get a brief respite Monday which may even offer a bit of sun. Another storm approaches the coast moving through the interior on Tuesday/Wednesday.SUNDAY NIGHT: Freezing level at valley bottom, light southerly breeze at most elevations with strong west wind at ridgetop, trace of snow possible.MONDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level at valley bottom, light southwest wind at most elevations, strong west wind at ridgetop, trace of snow possible.TUESDAY: Clear skies at dawn with cloud cover steadily increasing through the day, freezing level at valley bottom, light variable wind for most of the day, no significant precipitation expected, trace of snow possible Tuesday night.WEDNESDAY: Overcast, freezing level at valley bottom, light variable wind at most elevations with strong southwest wind at ridgetop, 1 to 5 cm of snow possible.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday and Friday a widespread natural avalanche cycle produced avalanches that averaged size 2, but storm slab avalanches as large as size 3.5 were reported from steep alpine features. A few different cornice failure events also produced very large avalanches. One of the more interesting results occurred when a group of skiers gathered on a rocky ridgetop feature on Saturday. Their weight on the slope remotely triggered a size 2.5 storm slab avalanche on a south/southeast facing feature at 2150 m.

Snowpack Summary

Thursday and Friday's storm produced 30 to 70 cm of new snow accompanied by moderate to strong wind generally out of the south. Wind effect is widespread in the alpine as well as isolated features at treeline. A 1 to 2 mm "zipper" (melt/freeze/mist) crust under the new snow has been reported in the mountains surrounding Revelstoke. Below this the snowpack is generally strong and well settled. At the bottom of the snowpack is a crust that formed in late October which is considered dormant at this time.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Wind effect is widespread in the alpine and wind has made it's way into isolated features at treeline too. Potentially deep wind and storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering. Slopes immediately lee of ridgecrest are the most suspect.
Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 2.5