Avalanche Forecast

Moderate -

The BC weather will take a holiday break over the next couple of days as the wild storm cycle of recent weeks eases in the Pacific.CHRISTMAS NIGHT: Freezing level at valley bottom, light variable wind, no significant precipitation expected. BOXING DAY: Overcast, freezing level at valley bottom, light south/southwest wind, trace of snow possible. THURSDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level at valley bottom, light northerly wind, no significant precipitation expected. FRIDAY: Scattered cloud cover, freezing level at valley bottom, light northerly wind with potential for moderate gusts in the afternoon at upper elevation, trace of snow possible.

On Monday a few old size 2 natural avalanches were observed on south facing features between 1600 and 2300 m. The avalanche at 1600 m is notable as that is below treeline. As the sun made an appearance a few small loose avalanches were also observed.The most recent 10-30 cm of low density snow was reactive to skiers on steep and convex features on Sunday. Otherwise, natural and human triggered activity has started to taper off.However, as recent as last Friday, large (size 2-3) persistent slab avalanches were occurring naturally. There have also been a few notable persistent slab avalanches remotely triggered from skiers on adjacent slopes. Most recently, last Wednesday a few large (size 2-2.5) avalanches on north-facing slopes were remotely triggered by skiers in the Selkirks.

10-20 cm of low density snow sits above wind slabs in the alpine, and in some isolated areas above small surface hoar (feathery crystals).A weak layer that formed during the dry spell in early December is now 50-100 cm deep. The layer is composed of weak facets, surface hoar, and a sun crust on steep south-facing slopes. This layer has been responsible for large persistent slab avalanches over the past two weeks, particularly on north and east facing slopes between 1900-2300 m and on steep south-facing slopes in the alpine.The lower snowpack is generally strong and settled, with a crust that formed in late October near the bottom of the snowpack.