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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 10th, 2014–Apr 13th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Even short periods of solar heating or rain may cause an increase in the hazard beyond posted Danger Ratings.

Weather Forecast

Flurries/showers can be expected Friday with Moderate to Strong West winds and freezing levels reaching 2100m. More Sustained flurries with light winds shifting to the N Saturday will only allow freezing levels to reach 1600m. With more sun expected Sunday freezing levels will return to 1900m although winds will stay unchanged.

Snowpack Summary

Strong solar heating has created moist snow on all but North aspects above treeline and solar inputs have allowed for only superficial freezing in the last few days at low elevations. Moderate to strong West winds continue to transport modest amounts of snow and have created thin and spotty slabs on E and N aspects TL and ALP.

Avalanche Summary

Daily loose moist activity on all aspects below treeline and to mountain tops on sun exposed aspects has been seen over the last few days. Minimal cooling overnight has kept solar slopes sensitive to daily solar inputs. This activity should diminish with the cooling expected Saturday however solar heating on Sunday will allow the pattern to resume

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.