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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 6th, 2013–Jan 7th, 2013
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: South Columbia.

Conditions are changing as each snowfall adds to the building storm load. When the storm snow settles into a cohesive slab, it is expected to slide easily on the recent weak surface layers.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain for the entire period

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Monday: Flurries overnight becoming snow in the morning should bring a total of 15-20 cms. Southwest winds are expected to build to moderate with strong gusts during the morning snow fall. A second pulse of snow should start in the late afternoon or evening.Tuesday: Expect an additional 10-15 cms by late morning combined with strong Westerly winds. Alpine temperatures are expected to dip down to about -12.0.Wednesday: Another 10-15 cms of snow should fall during the day combined with strong Westerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

Some thin wind slabs continue to be released by skiers and riders. Surface sluffing continues in steep terrain.

Snowpack Summary

There have been variable (15-30 cms) snowfall amounts across the region. In some areas this new snow has been transported into wind slabs. The recent cold and dry weather has caused the surface snow to facet and become weakly bonded. There has also been some surface hoar growth, mostly at and below treeline that has resulted in a weak bond below the new snow. This weak bonding has resulted in dry loose snow sluffing out of steep terrain. Forecast new snow on top of this weak unconsolidated surface should continue to sluff easily. Steep solar exposed terrain developed a thin sun crust during the recent period of warm air at higher elevations. If the new storm snow develops into a consolidated slab above the weak surface layers and crusts, expect this slab to be easy to trigger by light additional loads. If the new snow is transported into a wind slab, expect those pockets of wind slab to be very reactive; they may fail naturally or be triggered from adjacent terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs are developing on all aspects and elevations. As the storm slab becomes thicker it is expected to consolidate and become more reactive to human triggers. Wind slabs may also continue to develop at higher elevations.
Be aware of the potential for avalanches of the recent storm snow due to the presence of buried surface hoar and sun crusts beneath the storm slab.>Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4