Boletín de aludes

Lizard-Flathead

Mar 10, 2017Avalanche Canada
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Archivado · caducó 10 years ago

Peligro de aludes

Fri
Sat
Alta montaña
4 · Fuerte
Límite del bosque
3 · Notable
Bajo el límite
2 · Moderado
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Lo esencial

Storm loading will promote touchy conditions on Friday. Expect the avalanche danger to increase throughout the day.

Problemas de aludes

  • Cornices

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Likely
    Tamaño
    1–3
    Cornices are huge and are ripe for triggering. To avoid a nasty ride, give these monsters a wide berth when traveling along ridge crests.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Very Likely
    Tamaño
    1–3
    On Friday, new snow and wind will form touchy storm slabs which are expected to be most reactive in wind-exposed terrain. Watch for conditions that intensify throughout the day.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Unlikely - Possible
    Tamaño
    2–4
    Once or twice a week we get a report of a large naturally-triggered deep persistent avalanche. Likely triggers for these destructive avalanches include storm loading, cornice falls or solar radiation, all of which are expected over the next few days.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Saturday

Weather Forecast

Thursday night: 10-15cm of new snow / Moderate southwest winds / Alpine temperature of -8Friday: 12-18cm of new snow / Strong to extreme southwest winds / Alpine temperatures of -3 (freezing levels at 1500m)Saturday: Clear skies in the morning with increased cloud in the afternoon / Light southwest winds / Alpine temperature of -3Sunday: Light flurries / Light southwest winds / Alpine temperature of -4

Avalanche Summary

Over the past few days, natural and human-triggered storm slab and loose dry avalanches to size 2 were reported on a variety of aspects. Cornices are large and remain easy to trigger. A great image from Sunday illustrates just how surprising the results can be. Click here for details. A size 3.5 deep persistent slab avalanche also occurred on a northeast facing alpine slope on Mt Hosmer. The avalanche, which likely occurred on Wednesday, is thought to have been cornice-triggered and ran a distance of about 900m. This event highlights the isolated, yet destructive, nature of the deep persistent avalanche problem which should become more prevalent as we head into spring.Looking forward, natural storm slab activity is expected to ramp-up again in response to new snow and wind on Thursday night and Friday.

Snowpack Summary

By Friday morning expect 10-15cm of new snow with lots more falling throughout the day. Strong southwest winds are expected to shift these accumulations into much deeper deposits in exposed lee terrain. The overall storm total for the last week or so now stands at roughly 80-130 cm. At times, strong southwest winds have extensively redistributed the snow forming large brittle cornices. In some areas the recent storm snow is settling into a cohesive slab which sits over a variety of old surfaces including surface hoar, facets, stiff wind slabs, sun crusts, and a rain crust below 1900 m. Little is known about the reactivity of this interface which was buried in the middle of February. Until we get a better feel for it, I'd assume it has potential for large and destructive avalanches.Isolated basal facets still exist in shallow snowpack areas and can produce destructive full-depth avalanches. Likely triggers include intense storm loading, a cornice fall, or strong solar radiation.

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