Boletín de aludes

Continental

Valdez Avalanche Center
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Peligro de aludes

Alta montaña
3 · Notable
Límite del bosque
3 · Notable
Bajo el límite
2 · Moderado
Desactualizado: este boletín caducó 2 years ago. Estás viendo condiciones pasadas, no el boletín vigente.

Lo esencial

The avalanche hazard is Considerable above 3000 feet.  Human triggered avalanches 1-3 feet in depth are likely today. Natural avalanches are possible.  

Problemas de aludes

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Likely
    Tamaño
    2–3

    A layer of surface hoar (3/29 BSH) is buried under the storm snow that arrived Easter weekend.   Storm totals are highly variable with elevation and proximity to the coast.  Expect to find 6 inches-3+ feet of new snow depending upon location.  The BSH layer has been observed to be widespread and intact above 3000'.  The sensitivity of this layer is highly dependent upon several factors that make the current setup dangerous due to the advanced assessment skills needed to safely travel in steep terrain today.  

    The likelihood of triggering an avalanche today is highly dependent upon the characteristics of the slab that overlie the 3/29 BSH above 3000'.  Where higher storm totals exist expect the likelihood and more so the consequence to increase.  This part of the assessment challenge is fairly easy, as hasty pits should quickly reveal new snowfall totals.  The more challenging part of the assessment and the most important aspect will be the cohesion of the slab (stiffness) and the bed surface.  The stiffer the slab, the more prone it will be to human triggers.  Slab cohesion is a highly subjective observation making assessment challenging.  Slight differences may have a significant difference in stability and could be affected by previous wind effect, and settlement due to sun, temperature, and general settlement over time.  The bed surface is also an important factor.  East, west, and south aspects have been found to have a temperature crust just below the BSH creating a more effective sliding surface.  The crust will promote wider avalanche propagations once initiated.

    It is recommended to be conservative in your terrain decisions today.  If you decide to venture into steep terrain today try to avoid traveling above exposure and runs that end in terrain traps just in case your assessment of a slope turns out to be wrong.  

    (3/28/2024)

    2-6 mm Surafce Hoar on ridgetops in The Books ~5400'.

    Photo: Gareth Brown

  • Loose Wet

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    1–2

    Wet loose avalanches will be possible at low elevations.  Cloud cover may limit the potential for this problem later in the day.  Avoid steep low elevation terrain once more than a a few inches of the surface becomes moist.

Avalanche Discussion

RECENT AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:  

Several large (D2-3)  human triggered and natural avalanches have been reported in the last 24 hours that failed on buried surface hoar.

DISCUSSION:

Dangerous avalanche conditions exist due to a persistent weak layer whose sensitivity will vary depending upon multiple factors.  The assessment of these factors described above will be challenging for even the most experienced users as slight variations could be the difference in triggering an avalanche or not.  Human triggered avalanches are likely.  The word likely refers to areas where storm slabs are greater than 8 inches deep and have a certain amount of cohesion.  The amount of cohesion required is variable and depends upon terrain shape, bed surface, and the degree of previous surface hoar formation.  Advanced assessment skills are required to safely navigate steep terrain today.  Tracks are not a sign of stability.  Slopes may fail after multiple tracks have been laid down.

Additional Concerns:

This is the time of year when cornices begin to fail.  You can significantly reduce your overall exposure in the mountains this time of year by avoiding traveling on top of or under cornices.

A very significant Glide avalanche/ landslide in Upper Stuart Creek last week is a great reminder of the destructive forces involved with glide crack failure.  Glide cracks exist in isolated areas and will be a hazard throughout the season until they fail.  Avoid exposure to glide cracks.

Valdez season snowfall: 269  inches

Valdez March snowfall: 20 inches

Valdez height of snowpack: 70 inches

Thompson Pass season snowfall: 596 inches as of 3/1

46 mile height of snowpack: 68 inches

 

Regiones cubiertas