Boletín de aludes

Purcells

Feb 19 – 20, 2012Avalanche Canada
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Archivado · caducó 15 years ago

Peligro de aludes

Tue
Wed
Alta montaña
2 · Moderado
Límite del bosque
2 · Moderado
Bajo el límite
1 · Débil

Lo esencial

Check out the recent Forecaster Blog post discussing the "Tipping Point".

Problemas de aludes

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    1–4
    Fri/Sat winds were out of the S, SW, Sun.out of the NW. This combination has set up thin wind slabs behind exposed terrain features.
  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Unlikely
    Tamaño
    3–7
    Although a deep persistent slab would most likely require a large trigger (such as cornice fall), they are still possible; especially in thin snowpack areas or in unsupported, rocky terrain.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Monday and Tuesday: flurries both days bringing minimal accumulation of new snow. Light to moderate NW winds increasing to strong NW on Tuesday. Freezing level around 800 m. Tuesday night into Wednesday: a slightly stronger band of moisture arrives bringing around 10 cm new snow, freezing levels rising to 1800 m and strong westerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, small avalanches could be triggered in the top 20 cm of snow by ski cutting. As we get incremental amounts of new snow above this interface, we inch closer to the tipping point, when more widespread and dangerous avalanches start to occur. This concept is discussed in more detail in the latest Forecaster Blog post.

Snowpack Summary

Widespread surface hoar has been buried by around 10 cm of new snow in most of the region. The exception is terrain closer to the Bugaboos, where the interface is down 20-40cm. A melt-freeze is also associated with this weak interface on southerly aspects at all elevations. North and east aspects continue to have dry snow and some surface sloughing in steep terrain. Basal facets have not been reactive, but operators continue to monitor this layer in tests. Triggering this deep persistent weak layer is unlikely, but shallow snowpack areas or shallow weak areas adjacent to deeper wind loaded slopes are suspect locations.

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