Boletín de aludes

South Columbia

Apr 1 – 2, 2016Avalanche Canada
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Archivado · caducó 11 years ago

Peligro de aludes

Sun
Mon
Alta montaña
3 · Notable
Límite del bosque
3 · Notable
Bajo el límite
2 · Moderado
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Lo esencial

Special Public Avalanche Warning extended for this region. Continued strong solar radiation and high freezing levels will keep the avalanche danger elevated.

Problemas de aludes

  • Cornices

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Likely
    Tamaño
    2–5
    Continued high freezing levels and very warm daytime temperatures are very likely to result in natural cornice falls. Large cornice falls may trigger buried weak layers resulting in very large avalanches.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Unlikely - Possible
    Tamaño
    3–6
    Continued warm and sunny weather may add enough heat to the snowpack to wake-up persistent weak layers buried in the snowpack. Rapid warming of the winter snowpack can result in deeply buried weak layers propagating very large avalanches.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Likely - Very Likely
    Tamaño
    1–4
    Forecast high freezing levels and very warm daytime temperatures may break down surface crusts early and result in loose wet avalanches from steep solar aspects. Wet slab avalanches are possible if loose snow propagates on a buried crust.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The ridge of high pressure that is responsible for the clear skies and very warm temperatures is slowly starting to move eastward. Freezing levels should drop a bit, but will remain above 2500 metres overnight and morning sun should quickly break down any crusts that develop. High cloud is expected to move into the interior ranges by Saturday afternoon. Moderate westerly winds on Saturday night combined with light precipitation may not drop freezing levels more than a few hundred metres, and may inhibit crust formation overnight. Sunday should be mostly sunny with light winds and freezing levels at 2500 metres. Freezing levels should begin to drop by Monday morning, when moderate southwest winds and precipitation move inland from the coast.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, strong solar radiation resulted in numerous loose wet avalanches up to size 3.0 on various aspects. Some wet slab activity was also reported from southerly aspects, and one persistent slab avalanche size 2.5 on a south aspect in the alpine that was 100-150 cm deep. I suspect that the strong solar on Friday resulted in another round of similar avalanche activity.

Snowpack Summary

New surface crusts have formed at all elevations on solar aspects, and on all but high alpine shaded aspects. Some areas have reported a new layer of surface hoar growing in high sheltered alpine locations above 2300 metres. Approximately 40-50 cm of settled storm snow sits on a melt-freeze crust buried on Mar. 22. The late February persistent weak layer is an aspect dependant mix of surface hoar, facets and/or a thick crust down around 60-110 cm below the snow surface. Commercial operators continue to see hard sudden planar results in snowpack tests, which suggests that wide fracture propagations are possible. Cornices continue to be described as large and fragile. Expect loose wet avalanches and natural cornice falls with strong solar radiation and significant warming this week. Forecast warming may trigger very large slab avalanches on one of the buried crusts or associated weak layers.

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