Boletín de aludes

Seward and Lost Lake

Chugach National Forest Avalanche Center
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Peligro de aludes

Wed
Alta montaña
3 · Notable
Límite del bosque
3 · Notable
Bajo el límite
2 · Moderado
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Desactualizado: este boletín caducó 4 months ago. Estás viendo condiciones pasadas, no el boletín vigente.

Lo esencial

The primary concern remains triggering a buried weak layer 1 to 2' deep, especially on northerly aspects and terrain above 2,000'. In these areas, the snowpack is still dry and winter-like despite the calendar date. On southerly aspects, warming from afternoon sunshine may trigger natural wet loose avalanches later in the day. Lingering wind slabs from recent southwest winds could also be triggerable along ridgelines and convex terrain at upper elevations. To manage these hazards, you can approach steep terrain with caution and consider sticking to lower-angle slopes, particularly on northerly aspects where the persistent slab problem is most pronounced.

WEDNESDAY AVALANCHE OUTLOOK: A new pulse of moisture arrives early Wednesday morning, bringing 6 to 12" of new snow accompanied by strong southeast winds. This loading will add stress to existing weak layers and has the potential to form fresh wind slabs at upper elevations. The rain/snow line is expected to rise to around 1,500', increasing the chance of wet avalanches at lower elevations. Spring-like conditions will persist at lower elevations while mid-winter structure remains above 2,000'. Cautious terrain selection and conservative decision-making will be essential during this unsettled weather.

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SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENTS:

Forecast Operations: We have transitioned to our late season forecasting schedule, issuing forecasts Tuesday, Thursday, Saturday and Sunday. Our last forecast will be Thursday, April 30th followed by our annual "Spring Tips" on May 1st. 

Hiking on trails below avalanche paths this time of year is dangerous and not recommended.  Avalanches may release into valley bottoms, covering up summer hiking trails. This includes the Marathon Jeep Trail, which is a terrain trap for most of the hike. Other trails in this area that can be dangerous right now include the Russian Lakes trail to the Barber Cabin, Crescent Lake, Ptarmigan Lake, and Victor Creek Trail. 

Problemas de aludes

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    1.5–2.5

    Recent Avalanches: Last week, several slab avalanches were observed on the north side of Lowell Peak and on a southerly slope where a larger avalanche ran to the ground.

    Wintery conditions still dominate above 2000' and on northerly aspects, despite the warm temperatures and melting snow in town. The snowpack is harboring several weak layers in the upper 2', including layers of facets and buried surface hoar.  Recent observations from the Seward and Lost Lake area are limited, but last week, while working on the Lost Lake weather station, we observed several natural avalanches on northerly aspects that appeared to release on buried weak layers in the upper snowpack. 

    It is an easy time of year to be caught off guard by buried weak layers, because the snowpack feels like a springtime setup at lower elevations and on southern slopes. However, there is still a good chance of triggering an avalanche 1 to 2' deep on a buried weak layer. To avoid this avalanche problem, we recommend sticking to lower-angle terrain and avoiding terrain traps that could increase the consequences of triggering an avalanche. 

    Lingering Wind Slabs formed by recent southwest winds and light snow may also be triggerable today. These slabs could be 6 to 12" deep and are most likely found along ridgelines, in gullies, and on convex rolls above 2,000'. Watch for hollow or punchy snow in these locations and look for shooting cracks as a sign of touchy wind slab conditions.

    (4/14/2026)

    Several slab avalanches on NW face of Primrose Peak between 3,000 and 4,000'. These look to have released on a buried weak layer in the upper snowpack.

    Photo: Daniel Krueger

  • Loose Wet

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Likely
    Tamaño
    1–2

    The sun is expected to come back out today, which will bring warming to southern aspects and is likely to cause natural wet loose avalanches. So far this season, these avalanches have remained relatively small and confined to steep southern aspects. Later in the day, small point releases in steep rocky terrain have the potential to entrain more snow and grow larger as they run downhill.

    To manage this problem, watch for signs of surface warming, such as roller balls or snowballing. If you begin sinking more than ankle-deep into wet snow, it is time to move to shadier aspects or higher elevations. Be aware, however, that northerly and shaded slopes still hold the persistent slab problem described above.

    4/21/26 @ 7am

    Mostly clear skies over the Seward and Lost Lake area will revive the potential for wet snow avalanches today.

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