Boletín de aludes

San Francisco Peaks / Kachina Peaks Wilderness

Kachina Peaks Avalanche Center
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Peligro de aludes

Sat
Alta montaña
3 · Notable
Límite del bosque
3 · Notable
Bajo el límite
2 · Moderado
Desactualizado: este boletín caducó 4 years ago. Estás viendo condiciones pasadas, no el boletín vigente.

Lo esencial

New snow and winds have increased the avalanche danger. Triggering small to large wind slab avalanches is likely near and above treeline. On north, northeast, and northwest slopes, these avalanches may then step down, triggering deep persistent slab avalanches that are very large and likely unsurvivable. Avoid wind loaded, rounded, pillowed, rippled, and corniced slopes steeper than 30° near and above treeline.

Problemas de aludes

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    2–3.5

    Sometime around January 16, an approximately 1.5m thick (possibly thicker) hard slab avalanche occurred in the Silverton Avalanche Path on a northeasterly slope of Fremont. See photo, and get more information here. Additionally, a second avalanche from a similar time period was reported in Jay's Slide on the north northwest side of Fremont. Both of these avalanche likely failed in depth hoar near the ground, similar to the HS-N-R3-D3-O avalanche on Fremont, during the New Year’s storm cycle. So far this season, four known persistent slab avalanches have occurred on northeasterly slopes, with starting zones between ~11,400' and ~11,800'. These avalanches have been large and are a major concern for backcountry travelers. Although these are low probability events the consequences are high, with avalanches likely breaking wider, deeper, are running further than you may expect destroying trees that are 30-40 years old.

    North, northeast, and northwest slopes near and above treeline should be considered highly suspect and avoided or travelled on with the utmost care and consideration. You are most likely to trigger these avalanches in areas with a shallower snowpack (< 1 meter) where the weight of a traveler can initiate propagation on the weak layer.

    (1/18/2023) Estimated at HS-N-R2-D2-U. Likely failed at depth hoar near the ground, and likely occured on MLK day, January 16, 2023. Photo: Troy Marino

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Likely
    Tamaño
    1–2

    Strong south southwest winds have been transporting snow near and above treeline the last few days. Additionally, expect further development of wind slabs on leeward slopes and terrain features as additional snow has fallen in the last 12 hours and will continue to fall today. Avoid wind loaded, rounded, pillowed, rippled or corniced slopes, as these may have new sensitive wind slabs.

Avalanche Discussion

Based on observations on Wednesday and Thursday, at least four natural D2 avalanches occurred have occured during this last storm cycle. 

There were probably more avalanches during the last storm cycle,

General Info: KPAC's current schedule for 24-hour forecasts will be weekend days and holidays. In addition, 24-hour forecasts will be issued with weekday storms, pending staffing availability. During non-storm weekdays, expect a general summary with no danger rating. 

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For more information on the Avalanche Danger Scale, watch this video!

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