Boletín de aludes

Northwest Coastal

Jan 25, 2017Avalanche Canada
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Archivado · caducó 10 years ago

Peligro de aludes

Wed
Thu
Alta montaña
2 · Moderado
Límite del bosque
2 · Moderado
Bajo el límite
1 · Débil

Lo esencial

Uncertainty with regards to the new storms forecast to hit the coast over the next few days. Stay tuned for more information regarding the developing avalanche danger this weekend.

Problemas de aludes

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    1–2
    Lingering wind slabs are expected to remain reactive to human triggering in steep wind loaded terrain features.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Unlikely - Possible
    Tamaño
    2–3
    It may still be possible to trigger avalanches on buried weak layers (Dec 25, Jan 5th, Jan 12th surface hoar) ...or have a smaller avalanche 'step down' and trigger one of these layers.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Overcast with flurries or light snow combined with increasing southwest wind overnight.  Freezing level around 500 metres on Wednesday with moderate southwest winds and 5-10 cm of new snow (more snow nearer to the coast).  Another 5-8 cm of new snow by Thursday morning and 5-10 cm more during the day combined with strong southerly winds and freezing levels rising up to 1300 metres. Snow continuing on Friday with strong to extreme south winds and freezing levels around 1500 metres. The weekend also looks wet and windy, and some models suggest that heavier precipitation may arrive by Friday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported from skiable terrain in the south. Some natural windslabs continue to release in the Bear Pass alpine up to size 1.5 in steep terrain. Triggering wind slabs as well as lingering persistent slabs remains a possibility at higher elevations.

Snowpack Summary

Light flurries and moderate winds have formed fresh wind slabs above 40-60 cm of settled storm snow from last week. Freezing levels reached 1200 m during the storm, which has left a hard supportive crust at lower elevations. At this point there is some uncertainty as to how deeper persistent weak layers are responding to the recent loading and warming. Several weak surface hoar and facet interfaces were reactive during the storm, but have shown signs gaining strength since. This includes the January 5th layer about 50 cm deep and the December 25th layer up to a metre deep. These are not typical conditions for this coastal region, and it will take more time to gain confidence about the distribution and likelihood of triggering these deeply buried weak layers.

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