Models differ but we can guess a few cms of snow is likely to fall over the next 24hrs. If the forecast comes true and we get 15cm and moderate SW winds, avalanche danger will begin to creep up to moderate in alpine areas.
Expect these slabs to slowly break down with the cold. Thin spots will facet(weaken) quicker and become more and more likely to be a trigger as the colder weather continues.
Lots of variety in the forecast models with 6-15cm of new snow forecast with a slight increase in winds into the moderate range out of the SW. Temperatures will be mild with daytime highs around -6C
No new avalanches have been observed over the past 24hrs.
A few cms of snow fell over the past 24hrs but its going to take a bunch more to change the avalanche hazard. Windspread wind affect is being found in all open areas. Some softer facetted snow is being found in the trees but skiing is limited due to widespread tracks of late. We just have to be patient and wait and see for when a significant weather pattern comes in to create a change.
