Boletín de aludes

Sawtooth & Western Smoky Mtns

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
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Peligro de aludes

Mon
Alta montaña
3 · Notable
Límite del bosque
3 · Notable
Bajo el límite
2 · Moderado
Desactualizado: este boletín caducó 7 years ago. Estás viendo condiciones pasadas, no el boletín vigente.

Lo esencial

It remains possible to trigger a very large, 3-5 foot thick slab avalanche. Buried weak layers were intensely loaded by last week's snowfall and wind, and will be kept on edge by today's sun and warming. Numerous very large and destructive avalanches occurred naturally during the storm—triggering one of these beasts would have catastrophic results. Sticking to lower angled terrain is the best way to reduce your risk.

Problemas de aludes

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    2–3

    Last week's extended storm cycle clobbered the Western Smokys, Sawtooths, and Banner Summit with 3 to more than 4 feet of new snow. Numerous deep, destructive avalanches in the Sawtooths (see photo at right and in Media section) were revealed when the storm cleared on Wednesday. Persistent weak layers in this zone are now buried around 3 feet deep at middle elevations and beneath a 4-5+ foot thick dense slab at upper elevations (see photo).

    The lack of snowfall and significant wind the last few days have provided our snowpack a much-needed breather. However, we're about to poke one last sharp stick in the eye of the persistent slab problem. Today will be by far the warmest and sunniest day since the start of the January 10th storm cycle. To reduce the likelihood of triggering a persistent slab avalanche today, I'd recommend three things:

    1. Choose moderate slopes with low consequences. With a persistent slab problem, this is our primary line of defense.
    2. Avoid slopes with shallow and/or rocky areas. The weak layer will be closer to the surface and more easily impacted.
    3. Avoid slopes that are facing the sun today. The warming temps and sunshine may be adding more stress to buried weak layers.

    While triggering deeply buried weak layers is more difficult, remember that the resulting slide would be catastrophic and likely unsurvivable. 

    ADDITIONAL DISCUSSIONObservers in upper elevation terrain continue to report that wind slabs are becoming less reactive. This doesn't mean you should stop monitoring the effects of wind as you travel. Wind-affected terrain often has areas where the snowpack is thinner, making the weak layers described above more easily impacted by your weight.

Avalanche Discussion

Today will be the warmest and sunniest day since the start of the January 10th storm cycle, and possibly of the new year. The effect of warming on persistent slab problems is not well understood. The theory is that warming temperatures—and especially direct sunshine—increase the strain rate at the snow surface which can concentrate stress on weak layers buried in the snowpack. Sound like a bunch of snow nerd gobbledegook to you? Me too, and I went to school for this stuff. Think of it this way: we've all seen that snow can do weird things when it warms up. It creeps down your card windshield, it slides off your roof, and it contorts and droops into odd shapes. This same behavior can impact buried weak layers when it happens on a slope. 

So while the effects of warming on persistent weak layers is complicated and poorly understood, it's generally accepted that it's not a good thing for persistent slab problems. To be on the safe side, I'd add slopes that are getting warmed by the sun to your avoidance list today.

Details from Wednesday's Avalanche Accident in Baker Creek:On Wednesday, January 15th, 2020, a snowmobiler was caught and killed in an avalanche in the Baker Creek drainage, approximately a half-mile northeast of Baker Lake. We visited the site Thursday to collect data on the avalanche. This video contains preliminary information collected during the site investigation; a full accident report will be published soon.

The avalanche released at an elevation of 9200 feet on a south-facing, wind-loaded slope. The slab broke 2-3 feet deep, 250-300 feet wide, and ran just over 600 vertical feet. The slope angle of the start zone was around 33 degrees, but the slope steepened significantly below the fracture line. The avalanche was triggered from lower on the slope, well below the crown line of the avalanche, and released on a persistent weak layer of faceted snow in the middle to lower snowpack. The avalanche debris range from 3-8 feet deep.

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