Boletín de aludes

South Rockies

Apr 2 – 3, 2014Avalanche Canada
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Archivado · caducó 12 years ago

Peligro de aludes

Fri
Sat
Alta montaña
3 · Notable
Límite del bosque
2 · Moderado
Bajo el límite
2 · Moderado
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Lo esencial

Problemas de aludes

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    1–3
    Forecast new snow and Southwest wind may develop new wind slabs. Wind slabs may not bond well to the old surface. Cornices that are already weak may be easily triggered as the new snow and wind add to the load they are supporting.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Unlikely - Possible
    Tamaño
    3–6
    Deep persistent weak layers have a low probability of triggering. Possible triggers at this point include a large cornice fall, surface avalanche in motion or solar warming.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Thursday: Freezing level dropping to valley bottom overnight. Southwest winds developing during the day as cloud cover increases and freezing levels climb to about 2000 metresFriday: Freezing level dipping to about 1600 metres overnight and rising up to near 2000 metres during the day. Strong Westerly winds and light precipitation.Saturday: Not much drop in freezing levels overnight. Cloudy with a chance of broken skies. Light precipitation and moderate Westerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported. I suspect that loose moist or wet snow may release naturally on solar exposed terrain. Cornices have been reported to be very large and may be weakened by exposure to the strong sun of April.

Snowpack Summary

Solar radiation and high freezing levels have created new melt-freeze crusts on Southerly aspects. The 20-40cm of recent new snow sits on top of a thick sun crust on solar aspects. 70-90 cm of settling storm snow from the past week rests on a graupel layer that can be found in much of the region. This makes for around 90 cm on top of the mid march crust at this point. This crust exists on all aspects below 2000m and on solar aspects in the high alpine. North of Sparwood and in the Crowsnest Pass area, the buried crust seems more specific to previously sun-exposed slopes. The deep facet/crust persistent weakness buried at the beginning of February (now down 140 to 170cm) seems unlikely to trigger in areas where the hard, supportive crust exists. No matter where you are in the region, this weakness should stay on your radar as any activity at this interface would be large and destructive. Possible triggers include a large cornice fall, a large input in a thin snowpack area or solar warming.

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