Conditions are variable across the region. The Flathead and southern Elk Valley may have similar conditions to the Lizard Range at present (so check the Lizard Range bulletin too).
Problemas de aludes
Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alta montaña
Límite del bosque
Bajo el límite del bosque
Probabilidad
Possible - Likely
Tamaño
1–4
While old wind slabs appear to be gaining strength, new ones may form quickly if the the wind picks up again.
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alta montaña
Límite del bosque
Bajo el límite del bosque
Probabilidad
Unlikely - Possible
Tamaño
1–6
Surface hoar buried in December is up to 90 cm below the snow surface. Triggering this layer has become less likely and isolated to steep, shallow rocky start zones; however the destructive potential is high.
Loose Dry
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alta montaña
Límite del bosque
Bajo el límite del bosque
Probabilidad
Likely
Tamaño
1–2
Up to 40cm of dry new snow may sluff easily in steep terrain. It could knock you off your feet or carry you into a terrain trap.
Avalanche Summary
Skiers triggered small pockets of wind slab and heard some rumbling yesterday, but visibility remained poor for observations. A smattering of avalanches involving persistent weak layers occurred throughout the region earlier in the week, on north-east aspects at treeline and above.
Confidence
Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertainfor the entire period
Weather Forecast
Monday: Mainly light snowfall starting in the afternoon. Winds picking up to strong south-westerlies. Tuesday: Some lingering flurries possible. Cold.Wednesday: Light to moderate snowfall. Moderate to strong south-westerly winds. Freezing level at valley bottom.
Snowpack Summary
The snowpack in the South Rockies region varies considerably at present, with the Southern Elk Valley and Flathead Ranges close in nature to the Lizard Range. Near the Crowsnest, it's been drier and more consistently windy. Castle Mountain has been having its own little party and getting locally heavy snowfall. Anywhere from 4-30cm of new snow has fallen, redistributed by strong south-westerly winds into soft and hard wind slabs on lee slopes, followed by further snowfall with no wind. Old wind slabs appear to be gaining strength, however new ones could form quickly if the wind picks up again. Besides new storm/wind-related concerns, the layer we're still watching in the region is a surface hoar layer buried in early December. It's down about 85cm in the Flathead and exhibits hard, sudden planar/full propagation results, meaning that's it's stubborn to trigger but could create a large avalanche if triggered.At the bottom of the snowpack a variable facet/crust/facet sandwich is located with depth hoar up to size 5mm below the crust, and facets size 2mm above. There has been little in the way of recent activity on basal layers.