Boletín de aludes

South Coast

Apr 11 – 12, 2014Avalanche Canada
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Archivado · caducó 12 years ago

Peligro de aludes

Sun
Mon
Alta montaña
2 · Moderado
Límite del bosque
1 · Débil
Bajo el límite
1 · Débil
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Lo esencial

Avalanche danger can rise very quickly with warming and solar radiation. Be aware of changing conditions and overhead hazards. Terrain choices and timing can be critical.

Problemas de aludes

  • Cornices

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    1–4
    With forecast warming and intense solar radiation the likelihood of triggering a large cornice fall will increase dramatically. A cornice fall may also be what it takes to "wake-up" deep and destructive weaknesses which formed earlier in the season.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Likely
    Tamaño
    1–3
    Watch for loose wet avalanches with daytime warming on steep, sun-exposed slopes. Loose wet avalanches can be pushy and entrain mass quickly.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Unlikely
    Tamaño
    3–6
    Although unlikely, deep persistent avalanches would be very large and highly destructive. Possible triggers include cornice fall, a surface avalanche in motion, warming and intense solar radiation.

Avalanche Summary

Cornices have started to fail up to size 2.5 with warmer temperatures and sunny skies. Of the cornice fall observed, none triggered deeper slabs on the slopes below. Numerous loose wet avalanches occurred up to size 2 on steeper solar aspects, and are expected to continue with forecast warming. Also, in recent days a very large (unknown size) persistent slab avalanche was observed on the northwest face of Mt Matier. The trigger is unknown; however, it demonstrates the potential for destructive persistent slab avalanches. See Wayne Flann's Avalanche Blog for a photo.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Overview: A ridge of high pressure will dominate the coast by Saturday morning bringing mainly sunny skies and rising freezing levels for the forecast period.Saturday: Mostly clear skies / Moderate northerly winds / Freezing level at about 1600mSunday: Clear skies / Light northerly winds / Freezing level at about 1700mMonday: Mostly clear skies with increased cloud late in the day / Light southwest winds / Freezing level rising to about 2600m

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20 cm of recent snow sits above a solid melt freeze crust. The new snow seems to be bonding with help from the warmer temperatures; however, isolated wind slabs may still exist. Surface snow is seeing daily a melt-freeze cycle on all aspects below 2000m, and to mountain top on southerly aspects.Surface hoar growth has been noted on shady slopes at higher elevations, and large sagging cornices are becoming weak with daytime warming.A couple persistent weak layers exist deeper in the snowpack. The early March crust layer is down 60 - 100cm and the February crust/facet layer is now deeply buried down 150 250 cm. These layers are mostly inactive at this time, but could re-awaken with extended warming, solar influence and large triggers like cornice fall.

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