Wet Slabs
- Alta montaña
- Límite del bosque
- Bajo el límite del bosque
- Probabilidad
- Likely
- Tamaño
- 2–3
Wet avalanches that aren't the small wet loose variety are, by and large, highly unpredictable. You never know when they are going to release. Even explosives might not trigger a wet slab avalanche, but three hours later the entire slope might decide to rip out all on its own. Cornices can unexpectedly come tumbling down, triggering large and destructive avalanches on the slopes beneath them. Glide avalanches could release without warning. Expect any type of wet avalanche on Monday.
Although your impact on a slope may not be what will initiate one of these wet avalanches, this still isn't a day to travel in steep terrain, given the massive temperature increase and rain that we've received in the last 48 hours (about 3 inches of water by Monday)! Previous to the rain, we've received 2-3 plus feet of snow over the last week or so, which heightens our concern for travel on steep terrain.
The top of the lower elevation band could hold enough snow, plus a more saturated snowpack, to produce large wet avalanches. Large or very large avalanches from higher up may also run into the lower elevation band, catching you very unexpectedly, possibly in areas where snow isn't even in sight.
The probability of one of these large wet avalanches releasing is slightly reduced from Sunday night or the previous day, but they definitely may still happen. If you choose to travel beneath large avalanche paths, don't stop and have lunch under any massive overhead hazards - travel through this area quickly.
(2/22/2023)
A large wet avalanche that ran from upper elevations and blocked the Church Mt Road above Hwy 542. A car was stuck behind this large debris pile for weeks. The road and forest was completely snow free. The avalanche happened the day after the main rain event, when we'd dropped danger to considerable- same as we're doing right now.