Boletín de aludes

Purcells

Dec 9 – 10, 2014Avalanche Canada
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Archivado · caducó 12 years ago

Peligro de aludes

Thu
Fri
Alta montaña
3 · Notable
Límite del bosque
3 · Notable
Bajo el límite
2 · Moderado

Lo esencial

The warm, wet, windy storm continues. Backcountry ski conditions are reported to be terrible and avalanche hazard remains elevated. Now is a good time for indoor activities or take your rain gear with you to your local ski hill.

Problemas de aludes

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible
    Tamaño
    2–5
    Likelihood of triggering a deep weak layer is expected to increase with new storm loading and warming. Any slopes that did not avalanche during the last storm cycle should still be considered hazardous. Smaller avalanches may trigger a deep release.
  • Storm Slabs

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Likely
    Tamaño
    1–3
    Storm slabs will continue to build at higher elevations as the storm progresses. Strong winds will quickly reload leeward features.
  • Loose Wet

    • Alta montaña
    • Límite del bosque
    • Bajo el límite del bosque
    Probabilidad
    Possible - Likely
    Tamaño
    1–4
    Rain at lower elevations will reduce the stability of the upper snowpack and loose wet avalanches are expected in steep terrain.

Confidence

Poor - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The storm system continues to bring warm, wet conditions to the interior for Wednesday and Thursday. The Purcells region can expect another 5-10mm on Wednesday and 10-15mm for Thursday. Freezing levels on both days are expected to be 2200-2500m. Alpine winds should remain strong but might start to taper off late-Thursday. On a positive note, things should start to change on Friday. Freezing levels should drop, winds should ease, and we may see new snow at higher elevations.

Avalanche Summary

Limited observations on Tuesday includes a report of explosive triggered slabs up to size 1.5 in the Golden area. Also reported was small loose wet activity in the Invermere area.

Snowpack Summary

New moist or wet snowfall sits 10-20cm above a layer of surface hoar. Another 15-20cm below this you may find a hard rain crust. In the Golden area this crust exists up to around 1600m, whereas in the south it is up to 2000m or higher. In total, last week's storm produced slabs up to 1m thick in the north of the region and around 60cm thick in the south. This slab sits on the mid-November weak layer (surface hoar, facets, and/or a crust). Below this you will likely find a 15-20cm thick layer of sugary facets, which is sitting on a solid rain crust from early November. The reactivity of these layers may be slowly diminishing, but they still warrant cautious consideration. Snowpack tests are getting hard pops and drops results, indicating the potential for large propagation and large avalanches.

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