Cornices
- Hochgebirge
- Waldgrenze
- Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
- Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Unlikely
- Größe
- 1
Avalanche activity will remain unlikely during the day today unless the storm arrives much sooner than expected. The avalanche danger will increase quickly once snowfall begins this evening. During the night new fragile wind slabs will form on leeward aspects and some small storm slabs may accumulate above the potential weak layers (facets) that still exist in the bottom half of the snowpack on some NW-N-NE aspects. Knowing where these layers exist now and how weak they currently are can help make more informed decisions when the snowpack becomes deeper tomorrow. The numerous anchors that protrude through these layers have kept them from becoming continuous over large areas and have kept the pockets of instability small and isolated, but these pockets of instability may become more widespread depending on how much snow accumulates tonight. The anchors also make hitting hard immovable objects while traveling through the snow likely in most areas.
For anyone traveling in the backcountry tonight during the hurricane force winds, heavy snowfall, and utter darkness, human triggered avalanches will be likely. For everyone who waits till tomorrow to get out, the snowpack and avalanche conditions will be very different than today making careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. Careful and informed trip planning tonight and tomorrow morning can help prevent poor decision making caused by "powder fever" and the excitement of early season snow tomorrow.