Recent cornice growth may not be well bonded and may fall off naturally during periods of strong solar radiation.
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Hochgebirge
Waldgrenze
Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Possible
Größe
4–7
There is a weak layer of surface hoar buried down about 100-150 cms (February 12th layer) that may continue to be triggered by large forces like cornice fall or storm snow avalanches in motion.
Storm Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Hochgebirge
Waldgrenze
Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Possible
Größe
3–6
The recent storm snow continues to settle and bond, but may continue to be triggered by human activity. Strong solar radiation may cause increased activity on sun exposed aspects.
Confidence
Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Wednesday
Weather Forecast
Overnight and Wednesday: Cool, sunny and dry with light Southeast winds. Freezing level rising to about 700 metres during the day.Thursday:Continued cool and dry with overnight lows down to about -6.0 and daytime freezing levels rising to about 1000 metres. Light Southwest winds are expected during the day.Friday:More dry sunny weather is expected.
Avalanche Summary
We continue to get reports of natural avalanches up to size 3.0 that happened during the storm, or after the storm on solar aspects in the alpine.
Snowpack Summary
New sun crusts are reported to be forming on solar exposed aspects as the spring sun starts to pack more of a punch. The recent storm snow is settling, but storm slab releases are still possible. The weak layer of surface hoar that was buried around February 12th may be triggered by storm snow avalanches in motion, or by cornice fall and other large triggers. The strong solar radiation may trigger some cornice fall or release moist point releases in steep terrain that may step down to one of the deeper weak layers. I expect that the next couple of days will be a tricky combination of avoiding areas that slid during the warm wet weather, and gaining confidence in the areas that did not slide.