A widespread natural avalanche cycle is forecast to continue on Tuesday. Travel in avalanche terrain is NOT recommended.
Lawinenprobleme
Cornices
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Hochgebirge
Waldgrenze
Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Likely
Größe
1.5–3
Sunshine and rising freezing levels will elevate the potential for cornice failures resulting in large avalanches.
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Hochgebirge
Waldgrenze
Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Likely - Very Likely
Größe
1.5–3
Warming temperatures have settled the recent storm snow into a cohesive slab sitting on weak facets (sugary snow) that is ripe for human triggers; especially at treeline and above.
Loose Wet
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Hochgebirge
Waldgrenze
Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Likely - Very Likely
Größe
1–2.5
A widespread loose wet avalanche cycle has been occurring up to size 2.5. Natural loose wet avalanche activity is forecast to continue.
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
NOTE: Freezing levels are forecast to remain elevated overnight throughout the forecast period. This will significantly increase the impact of day time warming on the snowpack.MONDAY NIGHT: Clear / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine low 3 / Freezing level 3000 m.TUESDAY: Sunny / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine high 7 / Freezing level 3000 m.WEDNESDAY: Sunny / Light, southeasterly winds / Alpine high 8 / Freezing level 3000 m.THURSDAY: Sunny / Light, westerly winds / Alpine high 7 / Freezing level 2700 m.
Avalanche Summary
On Sunday, a widespread loose wet avalanche cycle to size 2.5 and numerous size 3 persistent slabs were reported on solar aspects at all elevations. A natural avalanche cycle is expected to continue on all aspects and at all elevations on Tuesday.
Snowpack Summary
15-30 cm. of well settled snow has created a cohesive slab sitting on a pile of facets (sugary snow), as well as a crust on sun exposed slopes. Natural avalanches on this layer are expected to continue.At lower elevations below treeline, a weak layer of surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) buried in mid-January can be found approximately 50-90 cm. deep and may be combined with a crust on south aspects. The current warming event may awaken this layer, resulting in large, destructive avalanches. Steep cutblocks and large open glades at lower elevations are the most likely places to trigger this layer. Smaller loose wet avalanches may "step-down" to this deeper layer.The base of the snowpack is composed of facets (weak, sugary snow) that sit on a crust. Very large avalanches failing on this persistent weak layer will become more likely with the intense sunshine and rising freezing levels.