Loose Wet
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Loose wet avalanche activity will continue to occur this spring on all aspects. The amount of instability will vary from day to day. Recent new snow under rapid warming will almost always be problematic.
Under established melt-freeze conditions of a week or more, the amount of day to day variance of loose wet instability will depend on the degree of overnight snow surface refreeze and the rate of daytime warming. Cloud cover overnight can greatly inhibit snow surface refreeze. Follow the NWS-Reno Backcountry Weather Forecast to identify periods of expected cloud cover and for air temperature forecasts. NEXSAT next-generation satellite imagery is useful for seeing how much cloud cover occurred overnight. If cloud cover was thick and air temperature above freezing, overnight refreeze will be poor to nonexistent. If this is the case, travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended.
If skies were clear the amount of refreeze will be related to air temperature. Near or slightly above freezing air temperatures under clear skies will allow for the top few inches of the snowpack to refreeze on open slopes. This superficial refreeze usually allows for a short period of good travel conditions during the early morning hours. When this is the case, the snow surface is often not refrozen in areas under forest canopy. The further and longer air temperatures drop below freezing overnight, the better the snow surface refreeze will be both on open slopes and under forest canopy.
Once a few inches or more of wet snow exists on the snow surface, loose wet avalanche problems exist.