Persistent Slabs
- Hochgebirge
- Waldgrenze
- Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
- Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Possible
- Größe
- 1.5–3
Throughout the forecast area, several 1-2 foot thick avalanches (photo 1, photo 2, photo 3) released naturally or were remotely triggered since Friday. These avalanches appeared to involve thin, sun or rain crust + facet layers on slopes commonly exposed to the wind near 9000' (upper or middle elevations). Limited observations indicate that the chances of triggering these slides is lower on SW and S aspects that have thick, hard ice crusts within 2 feet of the surface.
This problem is tricky:
- You can remotely trigger avalanches from gentler terrain below, above, or next to steep slopes (see photo to right/below).
- You may not experience signs of instability before triggering a large avalanche.
- Snowpack stability tests are generally providing stable scores on this layer.
- The snowpack structure, and especially the crust thickness, can change quickly due to elevation, aspect, wind-exposure, and previous rain events.
Many slopes are safe to ski and ride; the challenge lies in accurately determining whether or not a specific slope is safe. All steep slopes in wind-exposed terrain that also have thin crusts located 1-2 feet below the surface are suspect. You can reduce your risk by avoiding these areas as well as slopes with terrain traps or severe consequences (trees, cliffs, etc) in the event you trigger a big avalanche.
ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION: While unlikely, we can't rule out the chance of triggering an unsurvivable 3-5 foot thick avalanche involving faceted snow that formed in December. You're most likely to trigger one of these beasts in steep, rocky, wind-swept alpine terrain. Here, thin areas of the snowpack make it easier to trigger avalanches. You are unlikely to observe signs of instability before triggering a huge slide, and accurately assessing stability on a slope scale is next to impossible. Watch this video for more details.
(2/18/2024) On Sunday, Feb 18th, a skier remotely triggered this large avalanche in wind-loaded terrain from a safe ridge in the Alturas Lake Ck drainage. The slide is an estimated 2 feet thick and likely involved facets that were buried on Feb 1st. N aspect near 8900'.