Persistent Slabs
- Hochgebirge
- Waldgrenze
- Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
- Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Likely
- Größe
- 3
The situation is very simple - there is a persistent weak layer (PWL) of old, faceted snow near the ground with 3-4 feet of snow on top of it that can avalanche. Winds increased from the south and have likely been loading the slopes where this PWL exists.
This layer exists on north, and east-facing slopes where old snow lingered and weakened in November and was buried by December snowfall. This layer seems to be fairly widespread at upper elevations above 8,500 feet and more spotty at mid elevations. It doesn't exist on south and west facing slopes because it melted away in November, and December snowfall landed on bare ground on those slopes.
Since Christmas Eve, snowfall containing up to 6 inches of water has been added to the snowpack. We focus on water amounts because that tells us how much weight is added to the snowpack. For a slope the size of a football field, snow with 6 inches of water weighs 2,100,000 pounds. Imagine that amount of snow crashing downhill.
How will we know when this avalanche problem heals? That's a tough question to answer, and we mainly have to let the snowpack answer it. For now, avalanches are still happening and that's all I need to know. As we look into the future, it will heal, but I can't tell you when. We will be monitoring the snowpack and avalanche activity and keep you updated.