Daytime and solar heating will weaken cornices, avoid traveling in avalanche terrain during periods of intense solar input.
Lawinenprobleme
Cornices
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Hochgebirge
Waldgrenze
Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Possible
Größe
2–3
Cornice failure is hard to predict but is more likely with inputs like solar radiation and wind-loading.
Loose Wet
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Hochgebirge
Waldgrenze
Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Likely
Größe
1–2
Prolonged solar radiation and rising freezing levels with weaken the snowpack on South and West aspects, especially around steep and rocky areas.
Deep Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Hochgebirge
Waldgrenze
Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Possible
Größe
2–4
This problem is unlikely to disappear. It can be triggered by large loads like cornice fall or windslab failure. Human triggering is most likely from shallow spots or on steep unsupported slopes.
Weather Forecast
Clear skies with no forecasted snow as a shallow ridge of high pressure moves into our area on Tuesday. Winds will be light from the West with an alpine high of -6 with freezing levels rising to 1500m. Light flurries on Wednesday into Thursday with freezing levels to 2000m.
Snowpack Summary
10cm of new snow in past 2 days has formed windslab along lee ridge-lines and cross-loaded gully features from SW winds. Mid-pack bridging basal weakness. Entire lower snowpack is weak with a combination of facets, Nov rain crust and depth hoar. Below tree line a 5-10cm melt freeze crust sits above a moist facet layer to ground.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanche observations on Monday, but previous cornice and windslab failures have triggered the deep persistent slab resulting large full path avalanches. Loose wet avalanches have previously occurred on steep south and west aspect below tree-line.
Confidence
Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Tuesday