Forecasts are uncertain about the timing and intensity of the incoming system tomorrow.
A rain on snow event could raise the avalanche danger to CONSIDERABLE. Be prepared to adjust your plans.
Previous SW winds loaded up lee features. These slabs are up to 30 cm deep and sit on top of a crust on all but northerly alpine aspects. These windslabs will gain reactivity if a rain on snow event occurs tomorrow.
Cornices are LARGE and may be sensitive to temperature fluctuations, solar radiation, wind loading or just your mere presence nearby. Take necessary precautions if approaching them to access your line and limit your exposure below them.
With a mild temperature inversion tonight, rain and warm temperatures will increase the hazard later in the day Monday.
Little crust recovery is expected overnight tonight. Unsettled weather returns Monday evening with the arrival of a weakening frontal system.
Tonight: Clear periods. Alpine low 0*C. Freezing level (fzl) 1600m. Light SW wind
Mon: Flurries, 10cm. High 2*C, fzl 2300m, moderate SW wind
Tuesday: Flurries, 4cm. High -1*C, low -6*C, fzl 1900m. Mod W wind
A breakable surface crust can be found up to 2400m. Several crusts exist in the upper snowpack on solar aspects into the alpine.
The April 18th crust, down 5-30 cm, is widespread up to 2200m & higher on solar aspects.
Below treeline, the snowpack has gone through several melt-freeze cycles & is capped by a crust that breaks down with daytime warming
There has been a loose wet cycle to size 2.5 this weekend with the strong solar input. One notable natural size 3 slab avalanche occurred on Friday from a West aspect at treeline on Avalanche Crest (suspected to be windslab on the April 18th crust).
