Persistent Slabs
- Hochgebirge
- Waldgrenze
- Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
- Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Very Likely
- Größe
- 2–3
Persistent slab avalanches are very dangerous, surprising, and difficult to predict. They can propagate widely across terrain features and can result in very large and unsurvivable avalanches. Stay out of all avalanche terrain. Make sure to stop and regroup in places that are well away from and out from under avalanche paths. Avoid going near or underneath large slopes, as you could trigger avalanches from far away. We expect that 6 inches to 1 foot of heavy snow with southerly wind will tip the balance of the snowpack and bring natural avalanches by Sunday evening.
Stay alert to signs of instability such as recent avalanches, shooting cracks, and whumphing collapses. Since mid-week, observers have reported triggering avalanches in recent snow and widespread collapsing in the Icicle drainage, mountains near Leavenworth, and the Wenatchee Mountains. Observations show a variety of slopes to be prone to the problem. In the top 2-3 feet of the snowpack, there are a number of weak layers that could all result in an avalanche. These including surface hoar and facets resting on a crust beneath snow that has fallen since the 24th, as well as more deeply buried facets sandwiched between weak crusts. While the snowpack is complex, the solution is simple. Avoid avalanche paths and features that are big enough to produce large avalanches and put plenty of space between where you travel and slopes steeper than 30 degrees.
(1/28/2021) A skier intentionally triggered this avalanche (D2) in Icicle Creek on a north aspect at 3800ft that entrained soft snow and ran several hundred feet. The avalanche likely ran on the most recent (1/14) crust and associated weak snow (facets or surface hoar).