Lawinenlagebericht

Banner Summit

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
Auf der Karte ansehen

Lawinengefahr

Mon
Hochgebirge
3 · Erheblich
Waldgrenze
3 · Erheblich
Unterhalb
2 · Mässig
Veraltet — dieser Lagebericht ist 3 years ago abgelaufen. Du siehst vergangene Verhältnisse, nicht den aktuellen Bericht.

Kernpunkte

You can trigger large avalanches involving recent snowfall on many slopes today. Slides that fail at the base of the recent snow will involve 1-2 foot thick soft slabs. Much larger avalanches failing on weak layers buried 3-4 feet down under very dense slabs are much less likely but would be unsurvivable.

Lawinenprobleme

  • Wind Slabs

    • Hochgebirge
    • Waldgrenze
    • Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
    Wahrscheinlichkeit
    Likely
    Größe
    1–2

    Today's 3-6 inches of fresh snow will add to the 15-20 inches that fell at the end of the week. You can expect to find a wide range of problems involving this recent snow. These broadly fall into two categories:

    SLABS: Periods of shifting winds have built several generations of wind slabs at the surface. Look for drifts, dunes, and rippled snow surfaces as an indication that the wind has been at work, but expect much of this evidence to be masked by today's snowfall.  Cracks shooting out from your skis or machine are a clear sign that you've found an unstable slab that could be triggered on steeper slopes. Even in terrain that is apparently sheltered from the wind, you can trigger slabs that fail at the base of the February snow (see photo at right/above). The variable layers of weak snow that are generating this problem appear to be at their worst where either sun crusts or rain crusts exist at this interface. Read more about the budding persistent slab problem in the Forecast Discussion below. 

    LOOSE SNOW: In terrain sheltered from the wind, expect small loose snow avalanches to be easy to trigger. If you're seeking out cold, crust-free snow on northerly aspects these sluffs will have a dry character. On slopes where the sun is warming up and melting the snow surface this afternoon, these loose snow slides will have a wet character. If you're finding moist/wet snow at the surface or if you are seeing wet balls of snow rolling down the slope this type of slide is coming onto the menu. Loose snow slides will start out small, but can pick up steam and run quickly thanks to the stiff and crusty surfaces underneath the recent snow. 

    Avalanches involving the new snow will range from small to large enough to bury you. Avalanches failing near the surface can be effective triggers for avalanches failing on the deeper weak layer described below. 

    This large avalanche was remotely triggered by skiers near Dollarhide Summit on Friday. It failed on an E/SE-facing slope at 9,100'. Based on the appearance of the slide, it likely failed on a weak layer that was buried at the beginning of February. 

    Photo: Sun Valley Heli Ski

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Hochgebirge
    • Waldgrenze
    • Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
    Wahrscheinlichkeit
    Possible
    Größe
    2–3

    A widespread layer of weak snow rests underneath very dense, 3-4 foot thick slabs of snow here. In general, triggering these slides is not very likely because the weak layer is well-armored by the dense slab in many locations. However, if you find the trigger point for one of these monsters, the resulting slide will break wide and deep, producing a very destructive avalanche. You're most likely to trigger this type of slide in steep, rocky, wind-swept alpine terrain, where thinner areas of the snowpack give you better access to the weak layer beneath. 

    You won't see obvious signs of instability before triggering this type of slide. Assessing slope-scale stability with deeply buried weak layers is next to impossible. If you're entering avalanche terrain, this layer is likely underneath your feet. If you head into areas with thin, variable snowpacks in alpine terrain, you are playing where triggering one of these slides is most likely. Spend a little time thinking about what the terrain and snowpack look like where you are riding, and the consequences of triggering and being caught in a very large avalanche there.

Avalanche Discussion

A DEVELOPING PERSISTENT SLAB PROBLEM

We are snow detectives. A large portion of our job is looking for and finding patterns in the snow, and then describing these patterns to you. We have a budding persistent slab problem in our region currently, thanks to layers of weak snow buried by February storms. Unlike the deeper weak layer that is creating the widespread Persistent Slab problem described above, these weak layers don't appear to be as uniform. They are weak enough to produce large avalanches in some places, but they show signs of decent bonding in other places. At this point, these layers appear to be at their worst on slopes with thin crusts accompanied by facets. Avalanche activity has been focused on slopes that get direct morning and evening sun ("solar margins", slopes facing E-SE and WSW-W). A widespread rain crust that extends to above 10,000' exists at this interface as well and has produced collapsing and unstable snowpack test scores. The slab on top of these weak layers is growing with each storm.

Here is a short list of some of the relevant evidence pointing to this developing persistent slab problem:

Dollarhide remotely triggered avalanche - A large avalanche was remotely triggered by the professionals at Sun Valley Heli Ski on Friday (photo here). It broke several hundred feet wide on an E/SE facing slope at 9,100'.Profile drainage natural avalanche - A large natural avalanche was observed in the Profile drainage yesterday (photo here). It broke several hundred feet wide on an E/SE facing slope at 8,500'.Parks Peak natural avalanche  - A very large natural avalanche was observed on Parks Peak that likely failed at the tail end of the storm on Thursday on a SE-facing slope at 10,000' (photo here).Banner Summit area -  View my observation from Friday of collapsing and unstable snowpack tests involving this weak layer here.Durrance area natural avalanches - Very wide crowns involving this weak layer were observed adjacent to avalanches that failed on deeper weak layers following storms earlier in February.  

And here is a quick video from yesterday discussing this developing issue.

Snowpack complexity has been steadily increasing in the past two weeks. With this complexity comes uncertainty and unpredictability. Travel through the mountains thinking about new snow problems, our "old friend" the January 6th weak layer, and these emerging persistent slab problems. As complexity increases so does our uncertainty. The snowy world becomes less predictable and we are forced to build broader safety margins to deal with this uncertainty. Enjoy today's storm and this afternoon's sunshine, but don't ignore the fact that you are playing in a dangerous, increasingly difficult-to-predict world. 

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