Persistent Slabs
- Hochgebirge
- Waldgrenze
- Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
- Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Possible
- Größe
- 2–3
The snowpack this season has been plagued by a number of persistent weak layers. The layer most likely to produce avalanches in this zone is the prominent layer of early-season facets buried beneath 2-3' thick slab. However, we can't rule out more recently formed weak layers consisting of facets, isolated surface hoar, and crusts that are buried in the top 2' of the snowpack. Slow but nearly constant loading from light snowfall and wind over the past week are not giving these weak layers any relief.
An avalanche fatality occurred yesterday in the neighboring Sawtooths & Western Smokys zone—more details are in the Forecast Discussion below. This very large avalanche released on a persistent weak layer buried in late January. Given the uncertainty surrounding these weak layers, this does not seem to be the season to enter prime-time, consequential avalanche terrain. Each time we feel like things are improving, evidence of instability rears its head and we have to back off with our tail between our legs.
You are more likely to trigger an avalanche on upper elevation, "prime-time" slopes steeper than about 35 degrees. Most upper elevation slopes have received additional loading due to wind over the past few weeks, making them more dangerous. Triggering a wind slab (see Problem #2 below) could step down into these persistent weak layers, resulting in a much larger avalanche. Long story short, you can greatly reduce your risk of triggering a large persistent slab avalanche (or a wind slab avalanche for that matter) by sticking to wind-sheltered, mid-elevation slopes.
(2/12/2021) This avalanche was triggered by a rider NE of Wells Summit in the Soldier & Wood River Valley zone. The slide broke around 40' wide and carried the rider about 100 yards. A section of the cornice also released in the slide.