Lawinenlagebericht

Soldier & Wood River Valley Mtns

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
Auf der Karte ansehen

Lawinengefahr

Thu
Hochgebirge
3 · Erheblich
Waldgrenze
2 · Mässig
Unterhalb
1 · Gering
Veraltet — dieser Lagebericht ist 4 years ago abgelaufen. Du siehst vergangene Verhältnisse, nicht den aktuellen Bericht.

Kernpunkte

You're most likely to trigger avalanches where the wind has drifted or stiffened the snow on slopes facing west-north-east. As the day progresses, snowfall and wind will increase both the size and likelihood of triggering avalanches. You could trigger avalanches remotely - from gentler terrain above, below, and to the sides of steep slopes.  The danger is highest in the western part of this zone (Soldier Mtns and Smoky Mtn crest near Dollarhide Summit). 

The danger will increase dramatically tonight. Avoid steep slopes if you're out after dark. 

Lawinenprobleme

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Hochgebirge
    • Waldgrenze
    • Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
    Wahrscheinlichkeit
    Possible
    Größe
    1–2

    What is it?  In terrain exposed to the wind, expect to find 1-2 foot thick, soft and stiff slabs perched above weak faceted snow and crusts. In the western part of this zone (Soldiers, Dollarhide area) where more snow will fall on a deeper snowpack today, the chances of triggering avalanches in sheltered terrain will rise as slabs form on top of weak faceted snow and thin crusts in the upper part of the snowpack.  

    Where is it?  Fortunately, this is pretty simple. You are far more likely to trigger avalanches big enough to bury you  1) where the wind has drifted or stiffened the snow (see photos)  and 2) on shadier aspects facing west-north-east where weak, sugary faceted snow is better developed. Wind-loading should occur primarily near ridgetops and in chutes and gullies. The weak layer exists at all elevations, but winds will form thicker and stiffer slabs as you climb in elevation. While the snow is weakest at lower elevations, most slopes currently lack the slab component of the avalanche equation (weak layer + slab + steep slope). 

    How can you recognize it?  Multiple groups reported snowpack collapsing, cracking, or recent avalanches yesterday in zones farther north; these red flags are obvious signs of instability. Wind-loaded areas will feel stiffer under your skis or sled and are more supportable. The weak, faceted snow is fairly easy to see when you dig in the snow. You may find weak snow near the ground, near yesterday's snow surface, or surrounding thin crusts.     

    How can you manage it?  Persistent slab avalanches are tricky. You could trigger them remotely (from gentler terrain above, below, and to the sides of steep slopes), and they may break wider than expected or higher on the slope above you. Avoiding areas where stiffer snow exists above weak faceted snow or thin crusts is the conservative way to manage this problem. While today's avalanches should not be huge, it's easy to get injured in small slides when the snowcover is so thin. 

    ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION: Relatively small avalanches you trigger could "step down" to weak faceted snow buried near the ground, causing a larger avalanche. Read Ben's Conditions Blog entry for more information about this weak layer. 

    (11/23/2022)

    This avalanche was remotely triggered on Nov 23rd from the ridgeline above. It failed on weak snow near the ground in an area with a thin, wind-affected snow pack.

Avalanche Discussion

We're not wondering if the weak faceted snow/surface hoar that developed before Thanksgiving will fail, we're wondering when it will fail.  Why is that?

  • This weak layer has terrible structure. We are impressed by how awful it looks and feels. 
  • This persistent weak layer produced natural avalanche activity in the northern zones after being buried by only 4-10" of snow in the past week (see other zones' Forecast Discussions for photos). Even that small amount of soft new snow was enough to produce natural and triggered avalanches on slopes that were NOT heavily wind-loaded. 
  • With minimal new loading, we and other travelers are observing snowpack collapsing and long-running shooting cracks.
  • We're about to "thump it" with a big load, beginning today. 

When will it fail? Good question! The terrible structure, the unusual thin + soft slab avalanche activity, and the collapsing and long-running snowpack cracking in recent days say it won't take much to tip the stability scales. Stability could significantly worsen while you're out playing today, especially on slopes exposed to any wind. I'd be leery of steep, sheltered slopes that receive more than about 6" of new snowfall today. Looking ahead: we'll be staying out of the way while the mountains put on a show Thursday. 

The moral of the story:

  1. Avoid wind-loaded slopes, especially those facing W-N-E, where an avalanche would carry you into terrain traps or through rocks or trees.
  2. Have a conservative exit plan that is free from avalanche hazard if you're returning near or after sunset today.

Abgedeckte Regionen