Skyline
Lawinengefahr
- Hochgebirge
- Waldgrenze
- Unterhalb der Waldgrenze
Kernpunkte
Avalanche conditions remain quiet. The avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline remains generally LOW.
The only real concern is if you were to trigger a wind drift and it knocked you down into rocks/cliffs/trees.
Wind slabs that may release on a person seem far and few between but don't let your guard down especially if you're getting into committing terrain.
Snow and Weather
Current Conditions
We've seen steady moderate speed northwest wind over the last few days. It hasn't transported all that much snow so there reaaly aren't any fresh wind drifts out there. Although, the wind hasn't really helped the riding conditions either. There is lots of wind damaged snow but you can still find areas with soft re-crystallized snow in sheltered areas. Temperatures stayed in the low 30s on Friday and dropped down to around 20˚F overnight. The wind has currently let up.
Mountain Weather
Three more days of stagnant weather is ahead. We'll see sun with high temperatures into the mid 30s in the higher terrain. Wind will continue from the northwest but perhaps slightly slower than the last few days along the more exposed terrain.
During periods of benign weather, I tend to look at long range weather trends in the various weather models. I generally do this twice a day, once in the morning, once in the evening. Longer range forecasts very often change, sometimes drastically with each different model run. What I like to see is consistency from run to run. Recently the GFS model has been pretty consistent with a more stormy pattern starting mid week. The first storm in this series is a "closed low pressure system" that is actually looking a bit better for our area, at least in this morning's run. Now, the EC model is not as optimistic with this storm just yet. It would be nice to see consistency between these two models. I'm now on the edge of my seat until this evening.
Additional Info
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.